Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $38,103$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(3.62 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{36,032.2}{1 + 10^{-0.056 (t - 42.2)}}\) (asimptote \(36,032.2\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3,275$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(105 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,847.4}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 57.1)}}\) (asimptote \(3,847.4\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $16,403$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $135,905$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(2.76 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{181,060.9}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 64.2)}}\) (asimptote \(181,060.9\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3,983$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(106 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,433.7}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 58.2)}}\) (asimptote \(5,433.7\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $75,753$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $411,821$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(5.56 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.026t}\) (doubling rate \(11.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{995,923.1}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 76.5)}}\) (asimptote \(995,923.1\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $25,598$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(575 \times 10^{0.025t}\) (doubling rate \(12.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{42,265.8}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 62.3)}}\) (asimptote \(42,265.8\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $219,576$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $82,289$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(791 \times 10^{0.026t}\) (doubling rate \(11.7\) days)
Start date 2020-03-23 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $841$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(25 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.1\) days)
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $47,908$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,768$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(65.5 \times 10^{0.029t}\) (doubling rate \(10.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{30,127.7}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 85.3)}}\) (asimptote \(30,127.7\))
Start date 2020-03-30 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $280$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(10.8 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{854.4}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 69.3)}}\) (asimptote \(854.4\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $6,799$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $24,104$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(667 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(14.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{64,986.5}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 82.1)}}\) (asimptote \(64,986.5\))
Start date 2020-03-26 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $803$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(59.5 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,055.6}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 49.4)}}\) (asimptote \(1,055.6\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $17,190$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $13,933$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(548 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(15.9\) days)
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $500$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(48.3 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(18.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{618.4}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 47.5)}}\) (asimptote \(618.4\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $9,084$ on 2020-05-27
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $803$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(231 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(38.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{751.3}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 24.7)}}\) (asimptote \(751.3\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $22$ on 2020-05-27
Best fit exponential: \(5.69 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{21.8}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 23.7)}}\) (asimptote \(21.8\))
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $131$ on 2020-05-27
